Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000157 0.000174 0.000192 0.000212 0.000235 0.000261 0.000290
2025-06-08 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000205 0.000246 0.000295 0.000359
2025-06-15 0.000105 0.000131 0.000164 0.000208 0.000265 0.000338 0.000440
2025-06-22 0.000094 0.000122 0.000160 0.000212 0.000285 0.000383 0.000529
2025-06-29 0.000082 0.000111 0.000150 0.000208 0.000291 0.000409 0.000593
2025-07-06 0.000072 0.000100 0.000139 0.000199 0.000288 0.000421 0.000639
2025-07-13 0.000066 0.000095 0.000135 0.000199 0.000300 0.000455 0.000721
2025-07-20 0.000062 0.000091 0.000133 0.000203 0.000315 0.000495 0.000818
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000086 0.000129 0.000201 0.000322 0.000523 0.000898
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000083 0.000127 0.000204 0.000336 0.000564 0.001007
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000078 0.000123 0.000201 0.000340 0.000588 0.001088
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000200 0.000347 0.000617 0.001181
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000197 0.000352 0.000645 0.001282
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000065 0.000109 0.000191 0.000348 0.000657 0.001351
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000063 0.000108 0.000193 0.000362 0.000705 0.001509
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000062 0.000107 0.000197 0.000380 0.000764 0.001702
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000103 0.000193 0.000381 0.000787 0.001812
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000054 0.000097 0.000184 0.000372 0.000786 0.001866
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000185 0.000383 0.000831 0.002045
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000188 0.000398 0.000890 0.002272
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000049 0.000092 0.000187 0.000403 0.000925 0.002440
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000048 0.000092 0.000189 0.000419 0.000986 0.002700
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000046 0.000089 0.000187 0.000421 0.001017 0.002872